Alcides vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RIG
1 - 1
ALC
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
WKE
35%
25%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 0
ALC
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
5 - 1
RHE
80%
14%
7%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SCN
2 - 0
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MSC
2 - 3
HSC
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HOO
1 - 2
MSC
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MSC
0 - 1
BAB
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RKH
4 - 2
MSC
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MSC
3 - 0
BEQ
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +6 |