Alcides vs HSC 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BEQ
3 - 1
ALC
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 4
ACH
22%
23%
56%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SWZ
0 - 2
ALC
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
QUI
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NIE
0 - 2
ALC
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
HSC
1 - 3
ROH
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
WKE
2 - 0
HSC
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
JUL
1 - 1
HSC
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HSC
3 - 2
BEQ
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ACH
2 - 0
HSC
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |