Alcides vs De Bataven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ACH
2 - 0
ALC
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
JOU
3 - 1
ALC
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
WSV
2 - 2
ALC
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 3
QUI
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 4
HSC
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
De Bataven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
DEB
0 - 3
JOU
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
HSC
3 - 1
DEB
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
LIE
4 - 1
DEB
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
DEB
1 - 2
WSV
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
DEB
0 - 0
WKE
17%
22%
60%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |