Alcides vs Babberich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LIE
4 - 0
ALC
71%
18%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 1
DET
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 2
ALC
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 0
DEB
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ACH
2 - 0
ALC
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Babberich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BAB
0 - 0
ROH
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
WKE
4 - 1
BAB
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GER
1 - 2
BAB
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
BAB
2 - 1
BEQ
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SWZ
2 - 3
BAB
55%
24%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |