CD Alcazar vs Villafranca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PER
1 - 1
ALC
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 1
RAM
30%
23%
47%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
ALC
53%
22%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
STA
58%
21%
22%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
5 - 1
ALC
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
RUT
57%
20%
23%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
PER
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 7
RAM
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 2
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 2
FRA
44%
23%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |