Alcazar CD vs Capiscol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
69.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcazar CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
4 - 1
ALC
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 2
GRO
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 2
ALC
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
SCC
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDB
4 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
14%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
CDC
84%
10%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 5
CAP
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 3
BEL
37%
24%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 2
CAP
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 0
SAL
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |