Alcarras B vs AEM SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
52.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcarras B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 4
ALC
37%
22%
42%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
40%
21%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 3
ALC
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 2
PUI
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
4 - 0
ALC
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AEM SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AEM
2 - 1
PAR
85%
9%
5%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 3
AEM
9%
14%
78%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AEM
3 - 0
PAC
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PYA
3 - 1
AEM
20%
19%
60%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AEM
2 - 3
ALB
82%
11%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |