Alcanenense vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAV
27%
25%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
4 - 2
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
CRA
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |