Alcanenense vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
ALC
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 0
PED
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
ADO
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
OSL
25%
25%
50%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
ADO
71%
20%
9%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 1
FAM
16%
23%
62%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |