RSD Alcalá vs Las Rozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
LRZ
0 - 2
ALC
22%
30%
48%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
ALC
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 3
HER
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
PON
0 - 1
ALC
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 1
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Las Rozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
LRZ
0 - 2
ALC
22%
30%
48%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
LRZ
1 - 0
ADP
44%
29%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ATM
4 - 2
LRZ
26%
28%
46%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LRZ
1 - 1
PEG
47%
27%
26%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
LEG
0 - 1
LRZ
31%
28%
41%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |