RSD Alcalá vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
PEG
1 - 3
ALC
43%
27%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2000 |
COS
2 - 1
ALC
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
ALC
1 - 1
PBO
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
RVB
1 - 2
ALC
32%
28%
41%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
ALC
0 - 0
LEG
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
RMC
4 - 2
GET
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2000 |
RMC
0 - 0
MAA
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
STA
0 - 1
RMC
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
PEG
0 - 0
RMC
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
RMC
4 - 1
COS
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |