RSD Alcalá vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CEL
5 - 3
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 1
CDT
47%
28%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
CAD
3 - 1
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 1
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
SSR
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
ATB
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
OVI
1 - 2
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 3
OVI
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
ROD
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |