RSD Alcalá vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
VIL
4 - 2
ALC
87%
9%
5%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ALC
2 - 1
MER
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
GIM
3 - 2
ALC
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ARA
2 - 2
ALC
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
ALC
1 - 2
MAN
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
CDT
4 - 1
GUA
83%
11%
7%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VIL
2 - 0
CDT
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
CDT
3 - 1
DBN
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 1
CDB
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
GDE
1 - 1
CDT
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |