RSD Alcalá vs Atlético Madrileño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ALC
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
COM
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
FUE
2 - 1
ALC
40%
28%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
ZAR
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 0
ALC
23%
28%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Madrileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ATB
0 - 1
ALC
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
UDC
0 - 1
ATB
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ATB
0 - 1
CDT
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 3
ATB
28%
30%
42%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ATB
2 - 0
CUL
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |