Alcalá del Valle vs San Fernando CD B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
65.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
44%
22%
35%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
LIN
16%
18%
66%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NCH
2 - 0
ALC
51%
21%
28%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FED
6 - 0
ALC
83%
10%
6%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando CD B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
FED
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NCH
0 - 1
FER
28%
22%
51%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 1
FER
38%
22%
41%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FER
7 - 2
ALC
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LIN
1 - 1
FER
75%
14%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |