CD Alcalá vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LAP
1 - 1
ALC
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
ECI
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CDG
0 - 2
ALC
37%
25%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALG
20%
26%
55%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 3
ALC
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
REC
0 - 2
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAB
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
COR
0 - 3
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
ASJ
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |