CD Alcalá vs RC Portuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MAI
2 - 0
ALC
58%
23%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
POZ
1 - 2
ALC
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 3
CRD
46%
27%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
ANT
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ARC
1 - 0
ALC
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
RC Portuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
POR
3 - 1
POZ
46%
28%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
ANT
53%
25%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CEU
4 - 1
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
CAD
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
REC
1 - 2
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |