CD Alcalá vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALC
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
ARC
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
SRO
0 - 3
ALC
27%
26%
48%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
REC
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 0
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
BAR
48%
25%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 0
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAS
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
ARC
30%
25%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SRO
3 - 0
CAS
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |