CD Alcalá vs Los Barrios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
JER
3 - 0
ALC
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
CRD
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
2 - 2
ALC
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 0
VVA
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
COR
1 - 1
ALC
30%
28%
42%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAD
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
AYA
3 - 0
BAR
28%
28%
44%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
4 - 1
CCF
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 4
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |