CD Alcalá vs Atlético Espeleño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ARC
4 - 0
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
3 - 0
SRO
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
REC
2 - 2
ALC
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 1
CEU
40%
27%
34%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LEB
1 - 0
ALC
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 3
ESP
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 1
UTR
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 1
ARC
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SRO
1 - 3
ESP
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |