CD Alcalá vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 1
ALC
53%
22%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAB
28%
24%
47%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 2
ALC
77%
14%
8%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 2
SEV
26%
25%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ALG
1 - 1
CAB
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALG
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ALG
4 - 0
CDA
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
CDL
4 - 0
ALG
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -3 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 0
CIS
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |