Alcains vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
52%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
ALC
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
OLE
5 - 0
ALC
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 2
VIT
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 0
BEN
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FAT
3 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 4
OLE
33%
26%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 2
FAB
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -3 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 7
VIT
15%
18%
67%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 2
VIT
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |