Alcàsser vs San Marcelino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcàsser
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 3
ALC
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAT
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 3
ALC
53%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 3
BEN
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALC
39%
25%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcelino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UBF
1 - 1
MAR
29%
22%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 6
PIC
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
LEV
44%
22%
33%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAT
5 - 4
MAR
37%
24%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |