Alcabon vs Sporting de Galvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
RAY
3 - 1
ALC
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 0
COL
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ECG
4 - 4
ALC
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
4 - 1
CAL
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FDE
5 - 0
ALC
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting de Galvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SGA
0 - 1
ESC
36%
23%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 1
SGA
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CTA
4 - 3
SGA
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
RAY
1 - 3
SGA
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SGA
3 - 2
COL
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |