Alcabon vs Guadamur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAM
8 - 0
ALC
72%
15%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
TAL
6 - 0
ALC
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ALC
4 - 3
TOR
13%
17%
70%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ORO
4 - 1
ALC
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 3
RCC
38%
21%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guadamur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 4
TAL
31%
24%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
TOR
21%
19%
60%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 4
ORO
48%
20%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
RCC
1 - 1
GUA
51%
20%
29%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 4
ECG
21%
19%
60%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |