Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
RYK
0 - 1
ALB
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 1
VEN
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
EHI
0 - 0
ALB
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ALB
0 - 1
TOK
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GIR
2 - 1
ALB
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
GIR
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TOC
2 - 0
MAC
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
VVA
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 0
OMI
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
AVI
2 - 1
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |