Albirex Niigata vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
VVA
1 - 1
ALB
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 1
VVA
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 3
ALB
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
AVI
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 2
ALB
18%
23%
58%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
TMF
1 - 1
GIR
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
GIR
1 - 0
GAI
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IOF
0 - 3
GIR
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 1
GIR
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
GIF
0 - 1
GIR
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |