Albirex Niigata vs Fukushima United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
VIS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
5 - 0
NAG
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
JUB
0 - 0
ALB
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 1
ALB
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 1
SFJ
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 12 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
Fukushima United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 0
FUK
69%
18%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
YGU
0 - 1
FUK
10%
18%
73%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
JUB
3 - 0
FUK
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FCY
4 - 1
FUK
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CER
1 - 2
FUK
78%
14%
9%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +2 |