Albion Rovers vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MON
3 - 1
ALB
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
ALB
3 - 3
PET
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
ALB
3 - 1
QUE
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2004 |
ALB
5 - 1
THE
76%
15%
8%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
CWB
1 - 1
ALB
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
ELG
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 0
STR
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
PET
2 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 0
STI
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 2
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |