Second Division Round 16

Albion Rovers vs Ayr United analysis

Albion Rovers Ayr United
46 ELO 51
-2.5% Tilt -3.1%
4629º General ELO ranking 841º
55º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
29%
Albion Rovers
24.2%
Draw
46.8%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.8%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Albion Rovers
-1%
-12%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Albion Rovers
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2012
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 3
Forfar Athletic
FOR
29%
25%
46%
45 52 7 0
15 Dec. 2012
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
68%
19%
12%
45 56 11 0
24 Nov. 2012
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
67%
18%
15%
45 48 3 0
20 Nov. 2012
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
32%
25%
43%
46 52 6 -1
17 Nov. 2012
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 3
East Fife
EAS
38%
25%
37%
48 50 2 -2

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2012
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 3
East Fife
EAS
52%
23%
25%
53 52 1 0
01 Dec. 2012
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
48%
22%
31%
53 52 1 0
24 Nov. 2012
QOS
Queen of the South
2 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
71%
18%
11%
54 65 11 -1
17 Nov. 2012
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 1
Stranraer
STR
62%
21%
17%
54 49 5 0
10 Nov. 2012
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
53%
23%
24%
53 57 4 +1