Second Division Round 24

Albion Rovers vs Arbroath analysis

Albion Rovers Arbroath
43 ELO 56
-2.1% Tilt -3.8%
4608º General ELO ranking 2454º
54º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
20.7%
Albion Rovers
22.1%
Draw
57.3%
Arbroath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.3%
Win probability
Arbroath
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Albion Rovers
+17%
+2%
Arbroath

ELO progression

Albion Rovers
Arbroath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2013
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 3
Queen of the South
QOS
11%
21%
68%
44 66 22 0
05 Jan. 2013
EAS
East Fife
2 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
69%
18%
13%
44 52 8 0
02 Jan. 2013
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 3
Stranraer
STR
40%
25%
35%
45 48 3 -1
29 Dec. 2012
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
73%
17%
10%
46 55 9 -1
26 Dec. 2012
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
29%
24%
47%
44 52 8 +2

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 2013
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
40%
25%
35%
56 55 1 0
26 Jan. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
60%
21%
19%
55 51 4 +1
05 Jan. 2013
QOS
Queen of the South
5 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
68%
19%
13%
56 66 10 -1
02 Jan. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 0
East Fife
EAS
57%
22%
21%
56 53 3 0
29 Dec. 2012
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
73%
17%
10%
55 46 9 +1