Albi vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
ALB
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
3 - 2
CON
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
PAU
31%
28%
41%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BEZ
2 - 0
ALB
57%
22%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
HYE
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
37%
29%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AGD
2 - 3
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
UZE
4 - 2
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
GAP
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GDB
2 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |