Alberschwende vs Lochau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
14º
10º
39
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberschwende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 0
ALB
23%
21%
56%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 3
FCH
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 0
AND
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RTB
2 - 3
ALB
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 0
AND
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 0
LOC
22%
20%
57%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LOC
3 - 1
ADM
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NEN
5 - 0
LOC
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 2
LOC
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LOC
0 - 1
EGG
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |