Alberschwende vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
5º
1º
52
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberschwende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCH
2 - 2
ALB
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
SCF
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 0
BEZ
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 1
AUS
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 3
ALB
18%
19%
64%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 3
LOC
33%
22%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NEN
4 - 2
HAR
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
5 - 0
KBL
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 1
AND
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BIZ
2 - 2
HAR
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |