Alberite vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
ALB
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 2
PRA
51%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 1
ALB
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
BAL
51%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PRA
1 - 1
ALB
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 3
CAL
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
TED
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
RRF
3 - 0
CAL
68%
18%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
REB
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 5
HAR
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |