Alberite vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
AGO
17%
22%
62%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TED
2 - 1
ALB
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 2
PRA
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
VAR
4 - 0
ALB
91%
7%
3%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 5
ANG
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CLH
6 - 0
CAL
88%
10%
3%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 4
NAX
10%
20%
70%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 1
CAL
38%
28%
35%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AGO
3 - 3
CAL
79%
14%
6%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
TED
65%
20%
14%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |