Alberic vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALG
4 - 1
ALB
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 2
UEM
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CTS
1 - 1
ALB
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 0
PRO
35%
26%
39%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UDC
2 - 0
PEG
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEG
3 - 4
ALG
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PEG
3 - 2
UEM
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 2
PEG
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PEG
0 - 0
CTS
20%
23%
57%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |