Albacete vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
48.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
PIN
1 - 1
ALB
39%
28%
33%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
ALB
1 - 0
JUM
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
ALB
2 - 0
AGU
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
CFB
0 - 3
ALB
50%
26%
25%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
MUR
2 - 0
ALB
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
ATB
0 - 2
MUR
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
MUR
0 - 2
CEL
63%
21%
15%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
DEP
2 - 1
MUR
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
MUR
4 - 1
SAB
69%
19%
13%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
MUR
2 - 0
ALB
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | -1 |