Albacete vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albacete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 2
ALB
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 1
ECI
71%
20%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
ALB
20%
27%
53%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 1
CAD
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 3
ALB
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
GUA
26%
28%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 2
LUC
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 1
ECI
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 0
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |