Alba vs Bustelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACV
1 - 1
ALB
80%
15%
6%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
4 - 0
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -3 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 0
OLI
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
ALB
43%
24%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALB
5 - 0
VAL
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 1
OLI
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 4
BUS
41%
24%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BUS
5 - 0
VAL
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 1
BUS
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BUS
4 - 1
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +3 |