Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
67.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
MLL
2 - 1
ALA
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
RAY
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
OSA
1 - 0
ALA
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ATM
4 - 1
ALA
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
GIR
2 - 1
ALA
32%
26%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
VCF
56%
22%
22%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GET
1 - 2
VIL
16%
23%
61%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATH
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |