Deportivo Alavés vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALA
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
ALA
1 - 1
ELC
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
ALA
1 - 0
DEP
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ALA
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 0
BET
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
RMC
0 - 3
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 1
RMC
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
NUM
3 - 2
RMC
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 2
CAS
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
ALM
3 - 2
RMC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |