Segunda B Play-Offs Liguilla Ascenso Round 6

Deportivo Alavés vs Real Jaén analysis

Deportivo Alavés Real Jaén
59 ELO 56
15.8% Tilt -0.6%
96º General ELO ranking 4922º
18º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
66.3%
Deportivo Alavés
18.8%
Draw
14.9%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
Deportivo Alavés
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.9%
Win probability
Real Jaén
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportivo Alavés
+7%
-25%
Real Jaén

ELO progression

Deportivo Alavés
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 1995
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
45%
26%
29%
59 55 4 0
17 Jun. 1995
ALA
Deportivo Alavés
2 - 1
UD Las Palmas
UDL
63%
20%
17%
58 59 1 +1
11 Jun. 1995
GRA
UDA Gramanet
0 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
59%
21%
20%
58 57 1 0
04 Jun. 1995
ALA
Deportivo Alavés
4 - 0
UDA Gramanet
GRA
62%
20%
17%
57 58 1 +1
28 May. 1995
UDL
UD Las Palmas
1 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
69%
17%
14%
56 58 2 +1

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jun. 1995
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
45%
26%
29%
55 59 4 0
17 Jun. 1995
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 1
UDA Gramanet
GRA
55%
24%
21%
56 56 0 -1
11 Jun. 1995
UDL
UD Las Palmas
3 - 2
Real Jaén
RJA
70%
17%
13%
57 58 1 -1
03 Jun. 1995
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 1
UD Las Palmas
UDL
50%
25%
26%
57 58 1 0
28 May. 1995
GRA
UDA Gramanet
1 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
65%
19%
16%
57 58 1 0