Deportivo Alavés vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALA
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
OVI
0 - 0
ALA
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 0
GDE
62%
24%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
ALG
2 - 1
ALA
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
ALA
0 - 0
MUR
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
RJA
0 - 1
SAB
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 1
OSA
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
BAR
0 - 0
RJA
60%
24%
15%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 0
GRA
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
VAD
2 - 1
RJA
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |