Deportivo Alavés vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
OSA
2 - 2
ALA
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
FCB
2 - 0
ALA
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
ALA
1 - 0
CAS
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
ALA
1 - 0
FCB
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
GDE
1 - 1
ALA
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
RJA
4 - 0
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RJA
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 1
CCF
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
TER
1 - 1
RJA
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 0
VAD
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |