Deportivo Alavés C vs Pasaia KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
13º
5º
3
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 73 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 61 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 58 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 55 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 52 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 51 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 50 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 47 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 39 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 37 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 32 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 31 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
33% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 22% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2025 |
LON
4 - 0
DAC
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2025 |
DAC
2 - 0
DEU
48%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
DAC
4 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
CDT
0 - 3
DAC
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
NAX
2 - 1
DAC
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Pasaia KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2025 |
PAS
0 - 1
AUR
32%
23%
46%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2025 |
LEI
0 - 1
PAS
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CDU
0 - 0
PAS
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
PAS
0 - 2
URD
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LON
1 - 2
PAS
53%
24%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |