Alashkert vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
4º
4º
76
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LER
1 - 3
ALA
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ZOR
0 - 2
ALA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 1
YEN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
POD
2 - 1
ALA
28%
23%
48%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
ARA
48%
28%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 3
FCR
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
EMI
0 - 1
AVA
26%
23%
52%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
AVA
80%
13%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
URA
1 - 1
AVA
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |