LD Alajuelense vs Sporting FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
3º
32
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
LDA
1 - 0
CSH
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CSH
3 - 0
LDA
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LDA
3 - 4
GUA
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 2
LDA
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LDA
2 - 0
SAP
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CSH
3 - 0
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
CSC
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
PFC
4 - 0
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 0
PER
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |