LD Alajuelense vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
LDA
1 - 0
ADC
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ADR
5 - 3
LDA
23%
26%
52%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
CSH
1 - 0
LDA
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LDA
3 - 3
SAP
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
LDA
1 - 0
PER
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 3
SAP
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
CSC
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |