LD Alajuelense vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LDA
1 - 0
CSC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PFC
2 - 2
LDA
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LDA
0 - 3
CSH
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ADC
0 - 3
LDA
18%
24%
59%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
LDA
32%
25%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 2
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
TIG
22%
27%
52%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
DEP
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 2
EST
27%
29%
44%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |